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财经分析人士预测:若蓝月亮遭受50至60分扣分,本赛季仍有机会实现保级目标

来源:直播吧

10月4日,体育新闻传来重磅消息,曼城因涉及115起财务违规指控,遭到独立评审团作出的严重有罪判决。目前,曼城正致力于保住英超席位,并可能遭受一系列严厉的惩罚。俱乐部已对判决提出上诉,并坚决否认任何指控,声称自身无辜。据称,曼城通过将所有者资金伪装为赞助金,虚构了超过90亿英镑的收入。针对曼城可能面临的惩罚,足球财务专家基兰·马奎尔分享了个人观点。

在访谈中,马奎尔向talkSPORT透露:“就最终结果来看,我们必须借鉴过往案例。切尔西因财务违规行为,包括未记录向非授权经纪人支付的费用等,遭到了英足总以及英超的严厉处罚,罚款总额高达2000万英镑(需注意,英足总可能还会采取进一步行动)。因此,曼城面临的罚款数额预计也将相当巨大。另外,值得关注的是,在切尔西的申诉过程中,该俱乐部同意承担了一笔不菲的诉讼费用,而曼城的相关费用预计将远超这一数额。据此推测,曼城可能需要支付的总费用介于5000万至6000万英镑之间,再加上一笔巨额罚款。”

 Subsequently, the precedents set by Nottingham Forest, Everton, and Leicester City, all of whom breached the Profitability and Sustainability Rules (PSR) and faced deductions, are undeniable. The rationale underpinning this stance is that increased expenditure on players translates to a competitive edge on the pitch. Such an advantage should be curbed through disciplinary measures on the field, specifically through the imposition of points deductions.

考虑到曼城的违规活动持续期间更长,且涉及多年的反复违规,预计此次扣分的力度将远超我们以往所见的处罚。至于曼城具体超出了PSR限额的金额,我们尚不知晓。然而,依据先前的若干报道,我们初步判断将扣除3分,并且对于每超过650万英镑的金额,将额外扣除1分,这一标准将作为基本准则。此外,还有一个值得关注的因素:他们是否在调查过程中提供了合作?我们必须指出,他们可能并未充分配合。这种情况被视为加重情节,仲裁小组在考虑这一因素后,可能会据此决定增加额外的扣分。

In the event that such revelations are upheld on appeal, I sense that a deduction of roughly 50 to 60 points could transpire. Should the deduction exceed 70 points, demotion would indeed be imminent. From a dramatic standpoint, penalizing Manchester City by 50 points would transform their total to a negative 35, leaving them with 33 matches to play. This would paint a picture of a gripping narrative. For they would be embarking on a battle to avoid relegation, despite my awareness that the independent panel holds no affection for dramatics, yet there exists a plausible chance of securing survival. I envision that the player's demeanor and the entire situation would become profoundly captivating. However, it's a tale of Hollywood proportions, and the question is not whether it is fitting.

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